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What should we make of the Michigan primary results?
By Curt_Anderson
February 28, 2024 9:42 pm
Category: Politics

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In 2020 Biden won 53% of the vote. Bernie Sanders had 36% of the vote. Biden won Michigan in the general election.

Yesterday, Biden collected 81.1% of the vote. Uncommitted got 13%. Probably many, but not all of uncommitted votes were a statement about Gaza. One way or the other, the situation in Gaza is likely to be resolved by November. Very few of the uncommitted are likely to believe that Donald "Mr. Muslim Ban" Trump is a better alternative.

If Michigan voters really wanted a different Democratic nominee, they could have voted for Dean Phillips. He called for a ceasefire in Gaza in November. Michigander Democrats want Biden, they just want him to do something about the carnage in Gaza, which as I said will probably happen. But allowing Israel to be overrun by its hostile neighbors is not a viable solution.

To put things in perspective, had Biden had lost every single voter in Dearborn, Hamtramck and Dearborn Heights --- the three Michigan townships where Arab Americans make up at least 30 percent of the population. He still would have won Michigan --- and still would have won it by more than he did Wisconsin, Arizona or Georgia.

Trump is essentially running as an incumbent. Many MAGA voters actually believe he was the rightful winner of the last election. Trump only earned 61% of the Michigan primary vote. That's not great considering that the RNC has already declared him the nominee.

Also, don't read too much into the raw vote totals. Democrats are notorious for not showing up for primary elections, especially when an incumbent president is involved. Republicans are much better in turning out for the primaries.



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Comments on "What should we make of the Michigan primary results?":

  1. by Indy! on February 29, 2024 12:30 am

    I remember another candidate who didn’t take Michigan seriously. 😉


  2. by oldedude on February 29, 2024 3:19 am
    Curt- I agree with the 13% not being a very good number. And my guess is that trumpster won't carry it anyway. I'm thinking there's no surprises in a partisan election. And I don't think trumpster will gain too many delegates, but it's not a "winner take all" state. So there may be a few sprinkled in.


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