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RCP Betting Average: Biden tanks below 20% chance to win
By HatetheSwamp
June 28, 2024 5:49 am
Category: Games & Toys
(0.0 from 0 votes)
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At this point, I don't want to rub it in. After last night, as the song says, "It's a whole new world."
Polling will change in a few weeks. RCP had Trump up 1.5 entering the debate. By the beginning of the GOP Convention, I'll predict he'll be up, say, 4.0.
But, betting has to adjust in the moment by definition. In the wake of the debate:
Trump 54.8%
Biden 19.2
Newsom, interestingly, 10.8
No doubt, that will normalize in time. But, for now...
Cited and related links:
realclearpolling.com
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