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Biden could win the election Thursday
By Curt_Anderson
June 25, 2024 9:00 am
Category: Politics

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Now team Trump says they won’t underestimate Joe Biden, who they say will be “prepared and alert” for the debate. They better not. The pressure is on Donald Trump.

(NYT)Trump leads by no more than two points in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — three states that would be sufficient for Mr. Biden to win the presidency, provided he held the states and districts where he currently leads.

Biden narrowed his deficit in the wake of the State of the Union and with the clinching of the nominations in March.

Cited and related links:

  1. nytimes.com

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Comments on "Biden could win the election Thursday":

  1. by HatetheSwamp on June 25, 2024 9:31 am

    Biden narrowed his deficit in the wake of the State of the Union and with the clinching of the nominations in March.

    Noop.

    I posted here about that very thing.

    What the Former Truck Driver accomplished at the SOTU was to thrill white, woke progressives... such as yourself, nuthin more.

    The problem with your "Joe could win" dream is the built in excuses Trump has. Those Moderators probably will make the Orange Turd appear sympathetic.

    None of us are among the small group of moderate and independent undecided voters who will settle the election and I don't think any of us understand them.

    My theory is that they hate incivility in a presidential candidate. Undecideds EFFINhated Hillary in 016. They chose grampa Joe in 020, if, in fact, they did.

    Joe could very well lose the election if all he does on Thursday is shout, GETOFFMYLAWN.

    The string-pullers are going to have to tweak the cocktail and mellow Joe out some or undecideds may just decide... AGAINST him.

  2. by Curt_Anderson on June 25, 2024 11:06 am
    I know you said it, but it wasn’t true. Look at the RCP graph and see how the gap nationally between Trump and Biden has closed. You can see the tightening aftermath of Biden becoming the presumptive nominee and his state of the union address.

    The current RCP aggregate average includes the Rasmussen poll which is an outlier with Trump up by nine points. Excluding that one Trump and Biden would be tied.

    Trump has to defend a bigger electoral map than does Joe Biden.
    realclearpolling.com

  3. by Indy! on June 25, 2024 11:09 am
    Rasmussen always adds 10pts to the conservative candidate. But since there is none in this race - they just give it to the orange monkey.

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