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Biden up 2 in PBS poll!
Politics by HatetheSwamp     July 13, 2024 4:25 am (Rating: 0.0) Last comment by: (0 comments) [2 views]


Will anyone here be chagrined...
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Joe's Big Boy press conference predictions?
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Threepeat! Something for the people who frequent the selectors.
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A new Donald Trump. Relaxed. Mellow. During Hannity interview.
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Joe's letter
President by HatetheSwamp     July 8, 2024 12:52 pm (Rating: 0.0) Last comment by: Indy! (19 comments) [197 views]


Two interesting and consequential court decisions.
Law by Curt_Anderson     July 12, 2024 4:45 pm (Rating: 0.0) Last comment by: Indy! (2 comments) [40 views]


Anonymous comments regarding the Presidential Candidate Selector and the election
President by Curt_Anderson     March 19, 2024 10:10 am (Rating: 2.5) Last comment by: Curt_Anderson (103 comments) [3046 views]


Updated Nate Silver forecast
Politics by HatetheSwamp     July 12, 2024 11:35 am (Rating: 0.0) Last comment by: HatetheSwamp (3 comments) [36 views]


Axios article on Biden:
Politics by ROB3RT     July 7, 2024 12:26 pm (Rating: 0.0) Last comment by: Indy! (27 comments) [342 views]


Politics selectors, pages, etc.
Two articles analyzing polls explain why Biden is likely to win: Real voters prefer Joe.
By Curt_Anderson
June 15, 2024 3:35 pm
Category: Politics

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(NYT)In New York Times/Siena College polls over the last year, Mr. Biden holds a wide lead over Mr. Trump among regular primary and midterm voters, yet he trails among the rest of the electorate, giving Mr. Trump a lead among registered voters overall.

The pattern is the latest example of how the Trump brand of conservative populism has transformed American politics. His candidacy galvanized liberals to defend democracy and abortion rights, giving Democrats the edge in low-turnout special and midterm elections. Yet at the same time, early polls suggest, many less engaged and infrequent voters have grown deeply dissatisfied with Mr. Biden.

Biden leads among the most reliable voters: those who participated in a 2022 primary election, 49% to 44%. Trumpís lead among those who didnít vote in any of these elections is a commanding 14 percentage points, 49% to 35%.



(CNN)A new Marist poll in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, for instance, showed a tight race overall with Trump at 47% and Biden at 45%, a within-the-margin-of-error difference.

Trump is making inroads with voters of color and is nearly even with Biden among voters under 45 in that poll. But older voters have gone in the opposite direction, and instead of favoring Trump, are nearly split in the Marist poll.

Itís a trend that extends to other states. In a nationwide Quinnipiac University poll released in May, Biden and Trump split younger voters, but Biden has an edge among voters 65 and older.

Cited and related links:

  1. nytimes.com
  2. cnn.com

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Comments on "Two articles analyzing polls explain why Biden is likely to win: Real voters prefer Joe.":

  1. by Indy! on June 15, 2024 4:02 pm

    It's comical that some black folk are buying into Monkey Boy's self-pity party over getting busted and convicted.


  2. by Curt_Anderson on June 15, 2024 4:26 pm
    Some but not many. Today Trump made an appearance at a Black church in Detroit. According the WaPo, most of the attendees were not predominantly Black. A reporter who interviewed the crowd could not find one person who was a parishioner of that church.

    Trump's "I am a felon too" schtick is not playing well with African-American voters.
    washingtonpost.com


  3. by HatetheSwamp on June 15, 2024 4:32 pm

    According the WaPo


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