pb loves Polymarket because it, literally, readjusts by the second.
I check it about daily but several times a day when political stuff is happening.
After the ABC debate, Mckneepads picked up momentum. She passed Trump quickly and, in about a week or so, pulled ahead by 7 percentage points. Then, as ole pb predicted, the dust settled and people began to understand that Kammy's false gold was, merely, pyrite,... a function of ABC rigging the debate.
Still, on the morning of the day that ended with Tim Walz proclaiming himself a KNUCKLEHEAD before the entire electorate, Kammy was up 2 on Polymarket.
I checked early the next morning and her lead was 1 by early afternoon Polymarket had a tie. Then there was some fluttering. Trump up 1, then Kammy up. By now, it's clear. Trump's regained the lead and pb expects that lead to stabilize and, perhaps, grow.
On the Ruthless Podcast, I think it was Comfortably Smug who observed that the Trump Vance team is the first to end two political careers in debates. Trump, that "dithering and diminished" "feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap's" and, now, JD Tampon Tim's.
Anyway, it's very possible that the innate antisemitism of today's Dem Party which compelled the string-pullers and smoke-filled room not to choose Josh Shapiro, for that lyin, brainless twit from Minnesota lost us a very winnable election.
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