NYT: Republicans’ Electoral College Edge, Once Seen as Ironclad, Looks to Be Fading
By Curt_Anderson September 25, 2024 1:52 pm Category: Politics (0.0 from 0 votes)
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A review of the evidence that Donald Trump’s advantage relative to the national popular vote has declined significantly.
By Nate Cohn, Sept. 25, 2024
Ever since Donald J. Trump’s stunning victory in 2016 — when he lost the popular vote by almost three million votes but still triumphed with over 300 electoral votes — many who follow politics have believed Republicans hold an intractable advantage in the Electoral College.
But there’s growing evidence to support a surprising possibility: His once formidable advantage in the Electoral College is not as ironclad as many presumed. Instead, it might be shrinking.
A Shrinking Advantage
If polling trends hold, the Republican advantage in the Electoral College will be at its lowest level in a decade.
According to The New York Times’s polling average, it does not seem that Kamala Harris will necessarily need to win the popular vote by much to prevail.
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Comments on "NYT: Republicans’ Electoral College Edge, Once Seen as Ironclad, Looks to Be Fading":
A review of the evidence that Donald Trump’s advantage relative to the national popular vote has declined significantly.
