By Curt_Anderson September 8, 2024 7:53 pm Category: Politics (0.0 from 0 votes) Rules of the Post Write A New Article How To Post Here Rate this article (5=best, 0=poor)

There are no recent public polls on these candidates that I could find, but I linked to what is available. I will update this if polls are published. Most House seats are safely Democratic or safely Republican. Currently the House is comprised of 220 Republicans, 211 Democrats and four vacancies.

Kristen McDonald Rivet
MI-08

Rudy Salas
CA-22

Lenon Baccam
IA-03

Missy Cotter Smasal
VA-02

Janelle Byrum
OR-05

Tony Vargas
NE-02 "In the internal [March 29] polling, Vargas led Bacon 46%-43% among voters surveyed in the Omaha-based 2nd Congressional District."
Source

Janelle Stelson
PA-10 "The [June 6th] Franklin & Marshall College Poll shows Perry with 45% to Stelson’s 44% with 11% undecided."
Source

Amish Shah
AZ-01

Adam Gray
CA-13

Derek Tran
CA-45 "According to a [June 7th] poll by the Washington Examiner, when likely voters were asked about each candidate by name, Tran received 41% of support amongst those polled, compared to Steel’s 42%."
Source

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by Curt_Anderson on October 27, 2024 11:25 am Congressional races are a bit like the electoral college and the handful of swing states. That is most congressional seats are either safe Democratic or safe Republican seats. But there are ten swing districts which major Democratic donors have targeted and hope to retain or pick up. Based on recent polling, there is good chance that Hakeem Jeffries will be the Speaker of the House next January. Kristen McDonald Rivet MI-08 The race to replace retiring Rep. Dan Kildee (D-Mich.) is a coin flip, according to a mid-October survey of 400 likely voters: Republican Paul Junge was up 41 to 40 percent over Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, with 13 percent undecided. Third-party candidates received 6 percentage points. The margin of error is 4.9 percentage points. Poll conducted by NMB Research for the National Republican Congressional Committee's independent expenditure arm. Source Rudy Salas CA-22 The poll of 350 “very likely” CA-22 voters shows the race will be tight — 45% would vote for Republican incumbent David Valadao while 45.4% would vote for Democratic challenger Rudy Salas. Ten percent are undecided, all within the margin of error of 5.2%. Source Lenon Baccam IA-03 No polling found Missy Cotter Smasal VA-02 Kiggans posted a statistically insignificant 1-point lead — 46 percent to 45 percent for Cotter Smasal — among likely voters, down from a 5-point lead for Kiggans in a Wason Center poll in mid-September. The polls have a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points; 8 percent said they were undecided. Source Janelle Byrum OR-05 The poll surveyed 419 likely Oregon voters between Aug. 26-28 and found 43% supported Bynum and 42% supported Chavez DeRemer, with 14% unsure. Inside Elections reported a margin of error of +/- 4.8%, noting totals were rounded. Source Tony Vargas NE-02 The latest hint is a campaign poll funded by Democratic State Sen. Tony Vargas shared with the Nebraska Examiner this week that indicated he was leading Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon by 2 percentage points, 46%-44%, with 9% undecided. Source Janelle Stelson PA-10 Harrisburg-based Susquehanna Polling and Research released the poll that shows Stelson leading Perry 48% to 39% with a 5% margin of error. Source Amish Shah AZ-01 No polling found Adam Gray CA-13 No polling found Derek Tran CA-45 A new poll, commissioned by the DCCC in California’s 45th Congressional District, shows Derek Tran leading vulnerable GOP incumbent Michelle Steel 48% to 45%. This marks the 3rd public poll with Tran leading Steel since early September, proving Tran’s strong momentum in the closing weeks. Source Go To Top

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