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Politics selectors, pages, etc.
Reality check. MAGAs lying to pollsters... Wisconsin
By HatetheSwamp
September 1, 2024 1:15 pm
Category: Politics

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Wisconsin may be the most extreme example. But, other purple states tell a similar tale.

In the 020 election, the "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool "won" Wisconsin by .63%. A squeaker. See Wikipedia link.

Here's the zinger. Polls showed that the former truck driver would win Wisconsin in a landslide by a whopping 8.4%. See 538 link...

The polls overestimated the Orange Turd's loss by 7.8%. EEEEEEEEK!

As pb reminds the SS community, he monitors right-wing media regularly. Nationwide, the polls overestimated the size of the Flatulent Fool's popular vote victory by 3.9%. In many purple states, by more than 3.9%.

pb gets a clear sense that MAGAs are much more disgusted with Swamppollsters in 024 than they were four years ago.

Currently, Kammy is up in Wisconsin by 3.2%. See second 538 link. If,... IF... MAGAs are lying only as much as they were in 024, that puts Trump ahead by what?, 4.6%. Check my math.

Now, you know my beloved take on Joe's two words. I support Kammy. I support Kammy.

But, as I noted to Donna yesterday, maybe we should hold off on our making our plan to meet up in January at Kammy's inauguration.


Cited and related links:

  1. en.m.wikipedia.org
  2. projects.fivethirtyeight.com
  3. projects.fivethirtyeight.com



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Comments on "Reality check. MAGAs lying to pollsters... Wisconsin ":

  1. by Indy! on September 1, 2024 3:35 pm

    Total nonsense with no basis in reality. Translation - the polls aint goin' peebs/Trump's way.


  2. by HatetheSwamp on September 1, 2024 4:02 pm

    Numbers. Indy. Indisputable.


  3. by Curt_Anderson on September 1, 2024 4:23 pm
    HtS,
    Do you you remember the "Red Wave" of 2022? Here are your predictions for that election followed by the actual results.

    HOUSE: 236-199 GOP
    SENATE: 51-49 GOP

    Is that a Red Wave? No.

    Having said that. pb thinks a true Red Wave is more likely than a Dem victory in either house.



    House was actually 222-213 favoring GOP in 2022.
    Senate was actually 50-50 (plus VP Harris as the tie breaker)






    selectsmart.com


  4. by HatetheSwamp on September 1, 2024 4:35 pm

    How is that not a non sequitur?

    GOPs won 20 of the 35 Senate seats open in 022. Not shabby.


  5. by Indy! on September 1, 2024 4:56 pm

    You get ALL your information from questionable sources, peebs and we all know why you do... Because when you use legitimate sources - you don't like what you see.

    Predict away. As Curt's post shows - you're wrong usually.


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