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Trump wins CPAC straw poll, revs up campaign speculation as Biden's polling collapses

By HatetheSwamp
August 6, 2022 2:36 pm
Category: Politics

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The final numbers, released Saturday at the conference in Dallas, showed Trump out in front with 69% support.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis came in a distant second with 24%, while Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) followed in third with 2% — a dozen other candidates including former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin and Florida Sen. Rick Scott all received 1% or less.

Trump, who has stoked speculation that he will run for the White House again after his 2020 defeat bounced him from the Oval Office, consistently dominates in hypothetical Republican polls. On Sunday, a Washington Post/ABC News poll showed President Joe Biden's national approval rating slipping to 37 percent — his lowest mark ever in the survey.

Most GOP insiders expect that the 2024 primary campaign to be more of a coronation than a contest, believing it’s unlikely that any top Republicans will challenge Trump if his numbers remain strong both within the party and in hypothetical rematches with Biden.

Note: pb frequently links to NBC when he uses progressive SwampMedia sources because NBC, at times, notes ugly truths for the Dems, as is the case here.

Our friend, isle, has been dream-posting, from time to time, that the Show Trial hearings featuring his Wyoming pin up babe, is tamping enthusiasm for GOPs nominating OrangeMan in 024.

Ain't happnin.


Cited and related links:

  1. nbcnews.com

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Comments on "Trump wins CPAC straw poll, revs up campaign speculation as Biden's polling collapses":

  1. by Curt_Anderson on August 6, 2022 3:03 pm
    The CPAC straw poll results are one thing, and a scientific poll of Republican voters is another. 49% of Republican voters selected Trump from a list of possible GOP candidates including "other". That's basically lukewarm toward Trump. Even a vote of 69% of rabid CPAC attendees isn't overwhelming for a former and would-be president.


  2. by HatetheSwamp on August 6, 2022 3:15 pm

    Curt,

    You do know about polling on the Doddering Old Fool among Dems.

    pb's point has been the same for the last six months or so, since the reality that about half of the GOPs who vote in the primaries are going to vote for Trump.

    What's gunna happen with, say, six to eight candidates in the field through the first half of the primaries with Trump getting half the vote.

    pb despises Trump. He supports DeSantis. But, pb doesn't have TDS. Barring something extraordinary, Trump is going to be the nominee.

    I suppose you're also aware that in a face to face match-up with the Former Truck Driver, Trump leads by three points or more. If he only loses by three or so, he'll win in the Electoral College.


  3. by Curt_Anderson on August 6, 2022 3:25 pm
    According to 538 and RCP Biden picked up about two points in the last couple of weeks in his approval ranking and not just Democrats. He's almost back to 40%. At that rate, by midterms he will be above 50%.

    Things are looking up for Biden and the Democrats. I look forward to seeing the polls about September 1st after some of Biden's successes are reflected.


  4. by HatetheSwamp on August 6, 2022 3:49 pm

    Curt,

    I asked a few days ago, since the Flatulent Fool's been on a winning streak, if you think that, by the 022 election, he'll improve enough to equal Trump's negative net approval?

    Hmmmmmmm?


  5. by oldedude on August 6, 2022 5:13 pm
    Actually, Trump dropped a couple of points and DeSantis gained some since Orlando. Obviously, still a big margin, but you can't have DeSantis just yet.


  6. by Curt_Anderson on August 6, 2022 9:41 pm
    HtS,
    I am not sure what "improve enough to equal Trump's negative net approval" means. But if you are asking will Biden's poll numbers be better than Trump's by this November's election, my answer is "yes".


  7. by HatetheSwamp on August 7, 2022 3:26 am

    Curt,

    Check the link. On 538, the Former Truck Driver's net approval is -16.4, 5.1% below OrangeMan's at the same point in time.

    Do you really think that President Clouseau can improve to be as unpopular as was Trump by the midterms?
    projects.fivethirtyeight.com


  8. by Curt_Anderson on August 29, 2022 4:44 pm
    "[Biden]'s been on a winning streak, if you think that, by the 022 election, he'll improve enough to equal Trump's negative net approval? --HtS

    Do you really think that President Clouseau can improve to be as unpopular as was Trump by the midterms?" --HtS

    HtS,
    Seems I was correct...
    Biden approval todays' date=42.4%
    Trump approval 4 years ago=41.5%



    projects.fivethirtyeight.com


  9. by HatetheSwamp on August 29, 2022 5:05 pm

    Yeah. He caught Trump. He's soaring with the eagles!


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