By HatetheSwamp October 23, 2024 9:53 am Category: Media (0.0 from 0 votes)
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Gang,
I refuse to believe it!!!!!
Silver wrote in a guest essay published Wednesday by The New York Times that calling the race a 50-50 toss-up is the “only responsible forecast,” with polls showing the race as razor-tight in all seven key battleground states that are likely to determine the outcome. But, the 538 founder added, if people press him to give an answer on who is favored, he will say Trump.
“My gut says Donald Trump. And my guess is that it is true for many anxious Democrats,” Silver said. “But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine.”
While the race has remained mostly neck and neck between Trump and Vice President Harris, the GOP nominee’s chances have seemed to tick up in recent days. He became slightly favored in The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s forecast for the first time Sunday and has closed in on a polling deficit that he had in swing states including Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Silver noted, however, that polling errors could impact the result, and predicting which direction they will go is not easy. Trump memorably outperformed expectations in 2016 and even more so in 2020...
It scares me that the KK campaign is behaving as if the sky is falling and that Despicable OrangeTurdBad is electioneering as if he's on his way to a landslide.
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