At the height of Kammy's micro-boost from Sugar and Spice Dem Convention, briefly, only for a few hours, Kammy edged ahead of the Orange Turd with gamblers at Polymarket. When the Convention gaveled, Trump was up 53-46. A day or two after the Convention ended, for those few hours, Kammy edged ahead 50-49.
Since then Trump was up 50-49 and held there until the so-called Dana Bash "interview." Since then, Trump moved up. 50-48, then 50-47. Now, today, 51-47. And, as I noted, last week, Nate Silver reinstated Trump as the leader, with a 52% chance of winning.
Moderate and independent common sense voters begin to get serious at Labor Day. The race is a toss-up. Anything can happen. But, Kammy's taken her shot. She was a horrible candidate in 020 and didn't even make it to Iowa. The smoke-filled room and the string-pullers are trying their best to manage her. But, except for the po and Donna extreme woke crowd, she's an unattractive candidate.
pb's theory is that Donna's "low-information" voters vote for the candidate they like best. Trump is immensely unlikable. That's Kammy's best shot. That's what the "joy" theme of the DNC tried to accomplish. However, in pb's opinion, Kammy didn't produce joy...
...she came across as a dingbat.
Hence, Trump is pulling away.
And, Trump and JD and the PILF and RFKJ are out there. Everywhere. All the time. Explaining to voters that they actually care about your vote. KK and TT? Not so much. H€ck not really nuthin.
Everything that ole pb can see that matters is going Trump's way.
Kammy's not a bad debater. She's got that shot. Besides that...
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