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Politics selectors, pages, etc.
It's Labor Day. Trump has the momentum.
By HatetheSwamp
September 2, 2024 8:00 am
Category: Politics

(0.0 from 0 votes)
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At the height of Kammy's micro-boost from Sugar and Spice Dem Convention, briefly, only for a few hours, Kammy edged ahead of the Orange Turd with gamblers at Polymarket. When the Convention gaveled, Trump was up 53-46. A day or two after the Convention ended, for those few hours, Kammy edged ahead 50-49.

Since then Trump was up 50-49 and held there until the so-called Dana Bash "interview." Since then, Trump moved up. 50-48, then 50-47. Now, today, 51-47. And, as I noted, last week, Nate Silver reinstated Trump as the leader, with a 52% chance of winning.

Moderate and independent common sense voters begin to get serious at Labor Day. The race is a toss-up. Anything can happen. But, Kammy's taken her shot. She was a horrible candidate in 020 and didn't even make it to Iowa. The smoke-filled room and the string-pullers are trying their best to manage her. But, except for the po and Donna extreme woke crowd, she's an unattractive candidate.

pb's theory is that Donna's "low-information" voters vote for the candidate they like best. Trump is immensely unlikable. That's Kammy's best shot. That's what the "joy" theme of the DNC tried to accomplish. However, in pb's opinion, Kammy didn't produce joy...

...she came across as a dingbat.

Hence, Trump is pulling away.

And, Trump and JD and the PILF and RFKJ are out there. Everywhere. All the time. Explaining to voters that they actually care about your vote. KK and TT? Not so much. H€ck not really nuthin.

Everything that ole pb can see that matters is going Trump's way.

Kammy's not a bad debater. She's got that shot. Besides that...

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Comments on "It's Labor Day. Trump has the momentum. ":

  1. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 8:08 am

    Polymarket link.

    polymarket.com


  2. by Curt_Anderson on September 2, 2024 8:17 am
    HtS,
    You have weird political theories. I only know of one post-interview poll, ABC’s in which Harris took a 5 and 4 point lead.

    Will you see either of the presidential candidates or their VPs in your area?
    realclearpolling.com


  3. by Indy! on September 2, 2024 8:54 am

    Even Rasmussen must have Kamala in the lead since peebs is stuck with his polywhatever fake Fox polls.


  4. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 9:24 am

    My area? Trump’s been around here numerous times. It's Pennsylvania. He's in the state about once every ten days.

    My weird theories are in line with more recent thinking. Nate Silver did an extensive interview with Megyn Kelly a few weeks ago. I think it was the entire 100 minute podcast. He explained that he uses his experience playing poker to analyze elections. He was convincing.

    Yesterday, I demonstrated to you from 020 data that MAGAs lie to pollsters and that polls underestimated Trump's vote in Wisconsin by 7% and in Pennsylvania by 4%. Data. Pure raw data.

    So, weird theories? Define weird. My observations are rooted in indisputable historical fact.


  5. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 9:30 am

    Indy, I subscribe to Rasmussen on YouTube. They say that Trump's up. They point out that recent polls are over sampling Dems.

    Check it out.

    But, as I EFFINproved. MAGAs lie to pollsters. With Trump on the ballot, polls will always be wrong.

    View Video


  6. by Indy! on September 2, 2024 9:43 am

    You actually SUBSCRIBE to Rasmussen? 😳


  7. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 9:50 am

    I seek truth, Indy.


  8. by meagain on September 2, 2024 10:12 am
    The polls have Harris with the lead, Curt showed. What I don't understand, though, is that head-to-head and if third Parties are included, it is only 2 points. According to something I read this morning.


  9. by Indy! on September 2, 2024 10:32 am

    Means just what it says, meagain - if the race is only Trump and Harris (hypothetically) - she has a bigger lead. When you account for the votes going to 3rd party candidates too (Cornel West for the Greens(?), the Libertarian candidate, etc...) her lead gets trimmed down to 2.

    All the signs point to Harris winning right now. But the Ds have to turn out. That's what it always comes down to - do the Ds match the Rs turnout?


  10. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 10:54 am

    Indy,

    I do think that it looks good for the Dems in the House.

    I stunned that you are so hopelessly smitten with Kammy. You have become the quintessential Blue MAGA whom you once despised... and as ruled by the preferences and prejudices that you bring with you to every moment of your life as is po.

    Stunning!


  11. by HatetheSwamp on September 2, 2024 11:08 am

    Polymarket. Trump up another point. 52-47.

    polymarket.com


  12. by Indy! on September 2, 2024 6:03 pm

    PolyMAGAt. 😂


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