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Politics selectors, pages, etc.
538's Nate Silver on the disaster that is the Biden campaign
By HatetheSwamp
June 10, 2024 12:50 pm
Category: Politics

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"...Democrats would have been better served if Biden had decided a year ago not to seek a second term, which would have allowed them to have some semblance of a primary process and give voters a say among the many popular Democrats across the country.

...Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there's some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don't know. But it's more than fair to ask."


pb asks if Joe does drop out would the Dem smoke-filled room have the clout to compel the troops to lockstep behind Kacklin Kammy... and, if they did, would moderate and independent common sense voters vote for that?

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Comments on "538's Nate Silver on the disaster that is the Biden campaign ":

  1. by Curt_Anderson on June 10, 2024 2:00 pm
    You do realize that in an average of polls taken since Trump‘s conviction Biden leads, right? And that is without taking the libertarian candidate into account.
    realclearpolling.com

  2. by HatetheSwamp on June 10, 2024 3:25 pm

    No.

    But, I did notice in your link that last time, at this time, the Doddering Old Fool was up 8.1%. And, Trump overperformed the 020 polls by about 3%.

    If "that feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap" wins by 2.5%, Trump win the Electoral College.

  3. by Curt_Anderson on June 10, 2024 4:45 pm
    Objects in rearview mirror are closer than they appear.

    If Biden is beating Trump in recent polling with a campaign that is a "disaster", watch out as the Biden campaign makes adjustments and improvements.

  4. by Indy! on June 10, 2024 6:55 pm

    Is Biden even running? Hard to tell from this swing state. 🤔


  5. by HatetheSwamp on June 11, 2024 4:21 am

    Curt! You need your own dementia exam. I've noted this earlier:

    In the final 020 presidential polls, that "dithering and diminished" "feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap" was +7.2. In the actual vote?, he "won" by 4.5... 2.7% in the Doddering Old Fool's favor.

    As I'm seeing it, Trump is up .5% on RCP... and, in post conviction polls, former Truck Driver is only ahead by a whopping .25%.

    Face it. MAGAs lie to polsters. AND, the demented geezer will need to win the popular vote by 3% to win the Electoral College.

    The most recent poll in Virginia has the race a friggin dead heat!

    I despise Trump... but ole pb can't help but see an EFFINTrump landslide. Feel free to ease my fears.
    realclearpolling.com
    realclearpolling.com
    realclearpolling.com

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