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What impact will RFK, Jr. and third party candidates have on the election?
By Curt_Anderson
March 21, 2024 6:51 pm
Category: Politics

(5.0 from 2 votes)
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The 2024 battleground states are expected to be Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. Here are the states which will have the third party candidates and RFK, Jr. on their state's ballots.

R.F. Kennedy, Jr: AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA
Green: AZ, MI, PA, WI
Libertarian: AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI
No Labels: AZ, NV, PA

Cornel West does not have ballot access on any of the swing states. In 2020 the Libertarian Party garnered 1.2% of the popular vote, while the Greens collected .3%. So far, No Labels hasn't found a willing candidate for president.

The complete ballot access by the minor candidates are in a table at the link below. Let me know if I missed getting a candidate or party and the state right. I didn't bother with the non-swing states as these "other" candidates won't be spoilers in the red or blue states.


Cited and related links:

  1. en.wikipedia.org

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Comments on "What impact will RFK, Jr. and third party candidates have on the election?":

  1. by HatetheSwamp on March 22, 2024 6:42 am

    Your summary of 020 is accurate. 024 is different though. The polls consistently show that 70%-ish of registered voters don't want a Biden/Trump rematch.

    In fact, my sense is that many who vote for Biden or Trump will be haters, i.e., Dems or progressives who hate Trump more than they love the "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool, or, GOPs who fear four more years of the same old thing more than they are MAGA.

    Am I right, Curt? I just described you?

    RFKJ does well in the polls operating, so far, on a shoestring budget. No Labels may recruit an attractive candidate. And, we still don't know whose name will be on the Libertarian Party line on the ballot. That person may attract voters.

    This may not be 68, or 92 or 96, though it may be in the end. But, to suggest that 020 provides the model for projecting what happens this time around?

    Very seriously doubt it.


  2. by Indy! on March 22, 2024 12:16 pm

    Curt is a die hard D, so he doesn't understand how many people voted for Biden simply to get rid of Trump. A lot of them did that with the understanding Biden would only be a one term president and he would be replaced by a more agreeable candidate in '24. If the Ds are - again, as always - going to back down on their word? Biden is in trouble.


  3. by Curt_Anderson on March 22, 2024 12:26 pm
    Indy,
    Which Democrat do think would have had a decent chance of defeating Trump? Don't say "any Democrat". Any Democrat could have challenged Biden in the primaries. Dean Phillips tried and he lost to Biden, Maryanne Williamson and None of the above.

    I wouldn't have been surprised if Biden served just one term, but I never heard him promise that. I also didn't foresee Trump attempting a comeback. In the rematch I'll take my chances with the guy who has proven he can beat Trump.


  4. by HatetheSwamp on March 22, 2024 1:10 pm

    Which Democrat do think would have had a decent chance of defeating Trump?

    Curt, c'mon!

    In late 91, when H.W. had approval in the 80%s, who'd have thought that Bill Clinton would spank him a year later?

    That's what Dem primaries have achieved. Heck. In 016, without the DNC conspiracy to coronate Hillary, Bernie probably would have built the momentum to beat Trump.

    You've been brainwashed.


  5. by Curt_Anderson on March 22, 2024 1:21 pm
    So who is this latter day Bill Clinton? We don't have dark horse candidates being elected president anymore. To become president, a person has to announce their intentions practically on Inauguration Day and start campaigning in earnest.

    Bernie Sanders lost fair and square, because fewer people voted for him in two consecutive Democratic primaries. The votes weren't close either time.



  6. by HatetheSwamp on March 22, 2024 1:57 pm

    Bullfernerner, Curt. Whoda thought, in mid 91, that Bill Clinton was Bill Clinton? That became apparent when Dems went to the people to court their votes. Who knows who might have emerged in 024?

    "Of the people, by the people and for the people," BABY!

    What do Dems have against "democracy?" Baha.


  7. by Curt_Anderson on March 22, 2024 2:01 pm
    HtS,
    You are forgetting apparently that Bill Clinton and George Bush were not members of the same party. It's a different story when an incumbent is challenged by a member of their own party. It doesn't happen often, but when it does, it doesn't usually work out well for that party.


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