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Biden opens up lead on Trump amid growing gender gap: Quinnipiac poll
By Curt_Anderson
January 31, 2024 1:01 pm
Category: Politics

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President Biden has opened up a 6 point lead in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up with former President Trump, new polling shows, amid signs of a growing gender gap in support for the two party front-runners.

A new Quinnipiac University national poll found Biden with 50 percent support among registered voters, ahead of Trump’s 44 percent.



I've been expecting this. Trump has been the presumptive nominee in the minds of most Republicans for months now. Trump was the first candidate to announce (shortly after the FBI searched Mar-a-Lago for classified documents) and has been campaigning at MAGA rallies and courthouse steps.

Many wishful Democrats have been hoping a white knight would show up and become the Democrats' nominee for president. Now Democrats are realizing that Biden is their nominee and are coming to terms with that.

Trump hit his ceiling of about 47% a while ago. Biden just recently started to make campaign appearances.


Cited and related links:

  1. thehill.com

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Comments on "Biden opens up lead on Trump amid growing gender gap: Quinnipiac poll":

  1. by HatetheSwamp on January 31, 2024 1:11 pm

    Keehee:

    realclearpolling.com


  2. by Ponderer on January 31, 2024 5:32 pm

    Maybe it's because the economy is booming under Biden and people are finally starting to feel it? Even Fox News can't really hide how well our economy is doing right now. Much to the chagrin of Trump, who has very recently been voicing his wish for the economy to do horrible and for the stock market to tank so he could blame Biden for it. Now he's trying to take credit for all of how good the economy is doing right now. What a desperate, terrified, impotent man he is right now. And it's finally dawning on even more people who may have voted for him in the past.

    Maybe it's because we actually have the best, most robust economy in the world right now. By all economic indicators. Our numbers are actually better right now than they were calculated before the Covid pandemic to be by this time.

    Maybe it's because Biden has simply been getting the job done and it is finally beginning to sink into a critical mass of the population?

    Maybe it's because the noose is about to tighten considerably for Trump when his declaration of total immunity get's shitcanned as he keeps losing appeal after appeal after appeal after appeal..........?


    I'm of course simply speculating. But I sincerely believe that I am correct on at least one point here if not more.


  3. by Curt_Anderson on January 31, 2024 6:50 pm
    Ponderer,
    I agree with your points. So does Trump as witnessed by his claiming credit for the current economy, as you noted.

    It’s been reported that Trump had $50 million in legal bills last year—paid by MAGA donations. You have to figure he’ll spend at least that much again in 2024. Trump spent $800 million on his 2020 campaign. It seems like that $100 million or so that he’ll have legal expenses will be that much less money that he’ll have to spend on his campaign. Not to mention his trials will take up time and energy. I don’t care how well Trump compartmentalize his legal problems are a distraction.

    We haven’t even mentioned the possibility that a loss in any of these trials could put him behind bars.

    Also, Nikki Haley is finally campaigning against Donald Trump… what a concept! She doesn’t have to win to be a problem for Trump.


  4. by HatetheSwamp on February 1, 2024 3:42 am

    Also, Nikki Haley is finally campaigning against Donald Trump… what a concept! She doesn’t have to win to be a problem for Trump.

    We're wintering in South Carolina. I don't know what Nikki Haley ads you're seeing where you are. We don't watch much TV but when we do, she's attacking both Trump and Biden and lumping them together.

    Biden is too old. Trump brings too much chaos.

    I've been wondering if she's hoping to lose here but exceed expectations... then shop herself around to the No Labels gang.

    The story of this campaign so far is the number of voters who want to reject both Trump and the Doddering Old Fool.

    HatetheSwamp


  5. by Curt_Anderson on February 1, 2024 9:02 am
    HtS,
    No, Nikki Haley will not run as a no labels or any sort of third-party candidate. Her goal is to position herself for 2028. To that end, she does not need to win in South Carolina, or any of the remaining states, she just needs to do well. And well enough means that donations to her campaign. When she spends money on her campaign, that means that Trump needs to spend money on his campaign. As long as she is out there, he has to be out there. That is just that much less time and energy for Trump to spend on a general campaign.

    Nikki Haley could do to Donald Trump what Bernie Sanders did Hillary Clinton in 2016. He stayed in the contest long past the time that he had a viable chance, or even a mathematical chance of securing the nomination. That’s because he was still getting political donations. That’s why Donald Trump was so upset in his “ victory speech” in New Hampshire. Before you make the bogus claim that the DNC rigged the primaries against Bernie Sanders, Google “2016 Democratic primaries” and look at the state by state results.


  6. by HatetheSwamp on February 1, 2024 9:34 am

    Probably, Curt.

    I'm struck by the ads she's running in South Carolina. She's very definitely running as hard against the Former Truck Driver as she is against Trump.


  7. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 8:43 am

    The only thing Biden has to do now is the same thing he did in 2020... hide out in his basement until the election is over.


  8. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 9:02 am
    Indy,
    Actually you are right. And that would not be unusual, it’s typical for a president running for a second term to engage in a “Rose Garden“ campaign. Biden is likely to send out his cabinet emphasizing his team and their accomplishments vs Trump’s coterie of incompetent sycophants.


  9. by Ponderer on February 2, 2024 9:27 am

    Indy!, he could always go out and tout all the beneficial things he's done for the economy and average Americans during his term. I really hate several things that he's done, but his list of accomplishments for the American people is pretty undeniable at this point.

    I mean, we currently have the strongest economy in the entire world right now. Unemployment at an all time historic low for the longest straight time in 50 years. Wages are actually rising. Inflation is under control and steadily decreasing. There is still a long way to go on a lot of different fronts, but he and the Democrats have a ton to crow about.

    And that's even with the GOP being entirely responsible for the most comatose and inactive Congress in history. Biden's administration and the Democrats have gotten tons of things done in spite of the GOP's intense and incessant attempts to stop them from accomplishing anything for the American people. If they have to fuckover the American people to make Biden look bad, then that's exactly what they are happy to do.

    And what do Trump and the Republicans have to offer voters as examples of their governing abilities? They got a bunch of books banned? They owned the LGBTQ community and took away their civil rights? They made the government the final arbiter of what a woman and her doctor can do about her own body? They stopped a bipartisan bill on border security from dealing with an emergency everyone wants to do something about? They aided, abetted, and/or participated in an insurrection against the U.S. Constitution, our government, and our very democracy? They supported, and still do, the most corrupt and criminally indicted excuse for a president in United States history? The promise from that same leading candidate for their nomination to be a dictator on Day One and totally weaponize our justice system if he's elected?

    Republicans ain't gotshit to actually run on. They got nothing.





    Joe Biden is going to win the 2024 presidential election in a landslide. It won't even matter if Trump is convicted of anything before the election or not.







  10. by Ponderer on February 2, 2024 9:31 am

    And I like how Biden is going out to red states where some huge federally funded infrastructure project is just getting underway. Projects which their congress members voted against and are now trying to take credit for. Because otherwise they gotfuckingnothing.



  11. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 9:42 am

    "...going out to red states..."

    Really? Where?

    The Doddering Old Fool's polls on the economy are EFFINhorrible...more than 20 points under water. (See link)

    I think it's high gas and heating oil, food, and the ungodly increase in the deficit. Every time he touts a new federal spending project, people with sense think about how much the deficit is increasing.


    realclearpolling.com


  12. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 10:36 am

    "Inflation is under control"? I take it Donna does the grocery shopping in your house. 😌


  13. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 10:38 am

    Neither party is doing anything. Same as always.


  14. by oldedude on February 2, 2024 10:39 am
    I agree. Staples are still almost doubled, and yet gas has gone down, so where are the "costs" between growing, and shipping products? The selling price from farmers are at lows, and yet we're still paying way more.


  15. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 10:47 am

    Neither party is doing anything. Same as always.

    Except screaming about the other's evil... to make money... as always. The bizarre thing is that po and Curt can't see that.


  16. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 11:20 am
    The main reason groceries cost more is because labor costs are up. Unemployment is at a record low. Supply and demand means wages go up. When we aren’t shopping that’s considered a good thing.

    Add to that there are those in government who are doing whatever they can to keep people who want to work in agriculture from crossing our southern border. Also the situation in Ukraine is causing global grain and other food shortages.


  17. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 12:04 pm

    Curt,

    There are times when all the Good Germaning in creation is a waste of time. RCP has "that feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap" more than -20 on the economy.

    Period.

    People know.


  18. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 12:31 pm
    HtS,
    Sure, some people don’t yet realize how good our economy is, and some people will never admit it. Wages are now rising faster than inflation. The economy grew 3.1 percent from the end of 2022 to the end of 2023, defying expectations, including robust growth at the end of the year. The inflation rate is falling toward historically normal levels. U.S. stock markets are recording record highs. For a while now the unemployment rate has been the lowest it’s been in 50 years.


  19. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 12:33 pm
    HtS,
    By the way, you don’t have to look at any numbers to see how well our economy is doing. Our economy under Joe Biden is so strong right now that Donald Trump is taking credit for it.
    thehill.com


  20. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 1:03 pm

    Curt,

    -20% ain't good. You can play isle's, THEY DON'T UNDERSTAND game, and maybe they'll come around, but I'm beginning to doubt it.

    The thing is that that the EFFINrate rate of inflation is going down, but prices are still inflating above that nearly 10% Joe achieved early on in his regime.

    We just came back from buying groceries. It's still easy to remember what prices were under Trump... much more tolerable. Gas prices here in S Carolina were less than 2 bucks under Trump. Now they flirt with three.

    Also. We remember Joe moronically telling us that inflation would be transitory... every time we buy a dozen eggs or top off the gas tank. He's provided no moral leadership and shown no compassion for the suffering of people who are hurt under his economy.

    Frankly, I think that, based on the numbers, Joe should be polling better on the economy. But, I think that it's his frailty and fuzzy-brain-ism that keep people from thinking he did anything to improve the economy.


  21. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 1:14 pm
    HtS,
    You put way too much stock in polls. Remember the most recent mid-term elections and the Red Wave that didn't happen?


    wral.com


  22. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 1:29 pm

    It's a myth that the GOPs lost in 022. They won the 35 Senate races 20-15 and took control of the House.

    That being said, it seems to me that the Former Truck Driver should be getting credit for the improving economy. That he ain't is a problem that, very likely, will continue plague his reelection campaign.


  23. by oldedude on February 2, 2024 2:21 pm
    The main reason groceries cost more is because labor costs are up. Unemployment is at a record low. Supply and demand means wages go up. When we aren’t shopping that’s considered a good thing.
    Unemployment is down to a "record low" because those are crap paying jobs so many people need two just to exist. I've shown you the DOL numbers on that.


  24. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 2:42 pm
    Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 4.2 percent for the 12-month period ending in December 2023 and increased 5.1 percent in December 2022. Wages and salaries increased 4.3 percent for the 12-month period ending in December 2023 and increased 5.1 percent for the 12-month period ending in December 2023.


    Employment gains last month were across the board, with nearly two-thirds of industries adding jobs, the most in a year. Professional and business services added 74,000 jobs. Temporary help services employment, a harbinger for future hiring rebounded by 3,900, ending 21 straight months of declines.
    Healthcare payrolls rose by 70,000 jobs, spread across ambulatory, hospitals as well as nursing and residential care facilities. Retail trade employment increased by 45,000 jobs, while manufacturing hired 23,000 more workers. Government payrolls increased by 36,000, driven by federal government hiring as well as local government, excluding education.
    There were also job gains in construction, transportation and warehousing, utilities, leisure and hospitality sectors. But the mining and logging industry shed 6,000 jobs.
    bls.gov
    reuters.com


  25. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 3:12 pm

    Curt,

    Face it. People who ain't woke, white electric limousine lovin progressive Swampcultists are just too stoopid to, as po says, EFFIN, as isle says, UNDERSTAND that the Biden utopia defines life in what Christian theologians call the Millennium. Y'know, when the lion lies down with the lamb? When men will beat their swords into plowshares. The Kingdom of God has, very literally, come to earth.

    It just may be that conservative, moderate, independent and libertarian leaning voters may not reelect the Flatulent Fool because of essential American idiocy. And, since President Clouseau can't put two coherent sentences together, they can't be enlightened.

    Tragic, ain't!!!!!?


  26. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 3:22 pm

    BTW, Curt. Did you see, in that video, Shane Gillis demonstrating that when Joe finishes a speech, he turns into a Roomba. Got a louder laugh than the Trump mimicry. S'true, s'EFFINEFFINtrue!


  27. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 3:35 pm
    I didn’t look. I never heard of Shane Gillis. Related to Dobie?


  28. by HatetheSwamp on February 2, 2024 3:47 pm

    You gotta watch the video. Non partisan political comedy.

    selectsmart.com


  29. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 4:07 pm

    Actually all they did was raise prices because it became clear to corporate American nobody was going to work for slave wages anymore. So they raised the prices DRAMATICALLY and then tossed in meager "wage increases" to make people believe they were making more money. All you have to do is google "supermarket profits 2023" and you get article after article about supermarket profits skyrocketing to record highs in 2023 despite the fact people have been cutting back to save money.

    I think we can all agree (oh - and btw - did OD and I just agree on something up above there?)... that Time Magazine is a fairly reasonable source for information, right? Let's see what they're saying...

    (Note: This article is from April 2023 - that's why the prices they are quoting are FAR LOWER than they are now. Supermarkets have continued to gouge us even more since this article was written)


    How Food Companies’ Massive PROFITS Are Making Your Groceries More Expensive
    (emphasis mine in the headline)

    It’s been more than a year since the U.S. launched its battle against high inflation. Yet, nearly every grocery item still costs more than it did in the past.

    A bag of potato chips that could have been purchased for $5.36 last year will cost you $6.17 today. A dozen eggs that used to cost $2.01 now sets you back $4.21. A pound of butter went from $3.77 to $4.87.

    Across the country, the high grocery prices have crunched budgets for essential food items. But at the same time, some of the largest food corporations are raking in profits. Experts say those profits are helping to make your groceries even more expensive.

    “Follow the money, and the story is clear,” Robert Reich, the former US. Labor Secretary, tweeted last week. “Food corporations are using inflation as cover to jack up prices.”

    On Tuesday, Conagra Brands—one of the largest consumer packaged goods companies in the U.S.—announced that it had posted a nearly 60% year-over-year profit increase between December 2022 and February 2023. The Chicago-based company, which makes a long list of grocery staples including Chef Boyardee, Hunt’s, Slim Jim, Reddi-wip, and Marie Callender’s frozen meals, reported a net income of $342 million, up from $219 million in the same quarter a year prior.

    More at the link below. If you don't want to read more - just look at the attached graphic...



    time.com


  30. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 4:12 pm

    OD is also correct about the jobs situation. We're adding crappy jobs and that's in the wake of the covid rebound which still accounts for a lot of good jobs lost that were never refilled.


  31. by Curt_Anderson on February 2, 2024 4:23 pm
    We don't have or need any Chef Boyardee, Hunt’s, Slim Jim, Reddi-wip, or Marie Callender’s frozen meals in our house. Nobody needs potato chips.

    A one pound package of dried spaghetti is about a dollar. The sauce is three or four bucks. You can feed a family with kids for about a dollar per person.

    Raw ingredients are a lot cheaper and healthier than processed, prepackaged foods. It's not that hard to follow a recipe or wing-it to prepare a meal.



  32. by Indy! on February 2, 2024 7:17 pm

    So because your family doesn't eat it - the rest of the country is fine. Sorry Curt, not how economics works. And those are just random examples anyway. I drink a standard old school brand coffee - it's selling for close to twice what it was before the "inflation" hit. I was just at the store this evening - my regular Peter Pan peanut butter was bogo which made it only about 50 cents or so less than the regular price from a year back. Also bought a chicken florentine bag dinner I like - it's was $5.49 before "inflation" - now it's $7.69. This applies to everything in the store. Everything has gone up at least 30-50%. There is no way wages have kept up.


  33. by Curt_Anderson on February 3, 2024 11:41 am
    Indy,
    I also drink old school coffee. For around $7 I can get two pounds of MJB or Yuban.

    There is a lot of whining about grocery costs, but American eat better with more variety and for less money than most of the world.




    By TitleMax.com


  34. by oldedude on February 3, 2024 2:56 pm
    curt- We don't have or need any Chef Boyardee, Hunt’s, Slim Jim, Reddi-wip, or Marie Callender’s frozen meals in our house. Nobody needs potato chips.

    A one pound package of dried spaghetti is about a dollar. The sauce is three or four bucks. You can feed a family with kids for about a dollar per person.

    Raw ingredients are a lot cheaper and healthier than processed, prepackaged foods. It's not that hard to follow a recipe or wing-it to prepare a meal.

    I do agree with the premise. That said....

    The idea of "easier" food really ramped up when mom's started going to work. Our house was predominantly NOT Hamburger Helper, etc. That said. Mom and Dad worked full time as teachers. We learned how to add things to the "pot roast" when we got home from school, or maybe have to cook bacon for the waffles that night (a really cheap meal for the week before payday). We also became "experts" in frying "toast" in the pork chop fat (not to be confused with Native "fry bread"), because it added flavor. For families now, "fast" is a key ingredient to most family food now days. It has to be. More expectations of the work environment, higher gas prices, etc.

    Honestly, it's really nice for you to eat food you can check for "organic" or such labels and use those in ensuring your food is to your liking. We really try to do the same thing. Why? because we have the time.

    I don't think many households have that luxury if both parents work, etc. Then there's making sure the kids have homework done, class projects, that sort of thing. Then don't forget about team sports kids are growing up with now from the first grade.


  35. by Curt_Anderson on February 3, 2024 3:34 pm
    OD,
    First off, I don't buy organic unless it happens to be cheaper than its conventional alternative. The evidence doesn't support the contention that organic is more nutritious and healthier. Do to its inefficiencies organic farming isn't even healthier for the planet. The only thing for sure about organic food: it's a lot more expensive.

    Even in households in which both parents work and the kids have after school activities, Americans manage to have hours per day in which they watch computer, phone and TV screens. It wouldn't be too much of a sacrifice for at least some family members to sacrifice a half hour or so to prepare a meal from scratch. The family might like the activity.

    My wife just made a delicious loaf of rustic bread with a small assist from me. It took about twenty minutes of actual labor and maybe 70 cents worth of ingredients.


    health.harvard.edu
    news.climate.columbia.edu


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